I realize that this article is being posted at a curious time as Sanders has racked up a series of blowout victories in Hawai’i, Alaska and Washington and now Wisconsin. But the delegate math is hardly in his favor. Even if he was able to continue his winning streak and win every contest into the delegate heavy states in the Northeast, the idea that he would make up ground is hard to fathom. In most of the next Eastern and Mid-Atlantic states up for grabs Clinton leads by double digits. Even if Sanders were to make up ground he wouldn’t make up ground by nearly enough to make serious inroads into Clinton’s delegate lead. He would need titanic upsets in the upcoming states to make up the deficit he has in delegates and convince superdelegates to join his cause.
Many supporters of Sanders say that its early and that the process is rigged with the earlier states favoring Clinton. This assertion seems to devalue the votes of Southern Democrats and seems a baseless attack since there hasn’t been a state with significant minority population since Michigan that Bernie won.
Furthermore, Sanders’ reliance on superdelegates seems to fly in the face of a message that thwarts establishment rules and, more importantly, believes it can win under its own steam. If Sanders is now banking on a superdelegate math win and not an all out win, doesn’t this undercut his “not your average politician” persona? His recent attacks on Clinton’s qualifications seem to further this bent and could be interpreted as a sexist attack on an overwhelmingly qualified candidate.
I see a radically different role for Sanders. Instead of attacking Clinton and prolonging a primary fight that mathematically is nearing impossibility, Sanders should get behind Hillary Clinton and begin to help her in positioning for both the general election and in terms of her inheriting the vast majority of Sanders supporters. I, while thinking Hillary is a strong candidate, also understand that she has a definite deficit in trust with young people and working people. I think that Sanders pulling out of the race and focusing on combining their factions has the added benefit of uniting the party around a candidate and getting important politicos off the benches.
With the primary process locked up, President Obama, Vice President Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren would all be off the sidelines and could use their estimable powers to unite the party against the more likely than ever Donald Trump nomination. I don’t subscribe to the “Trump is a weak candidate” theory and understand that President Obama, Vice President Biden, Senator Sanders and Senator Warren would provide a huge boost of support to Clinton and the democratic party at large. With an election that is looking more than ever to be about turnout, the idea that we would spend more time running for a losing election and not transitioning into an electoral machine that will get Democrats the White House, Senate and inroads in the house is not a wise move.
Mad respect to Bernie, but the math isn’t in your favor.